Professor Emeritus Edward Altman's research on high yield bond defaults is referenced
— May 18, 2016
Excerpt from Barron's -- "...this year, the recovery rate in high yield bonds has been extremely low — just 13.9%, reports Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, in a Tuesday report published Wednesday on S&P Capital IQ LCD. This continues a trend that started last year. Drawing on academic research, primarily done by Edward Altman of New York University Stern School, Fridson reports that the junk bond default rate was 2.83% in 2015, lower than the long-term mean of 3.33%. Normally, the recovery rate is higher when defaults are low. But in 2015, the recovery rate was just 34%, far below its historical average of 46%."