Program: Friday, September 26, 2003
A Big
Meeting At The Big Board
A New
Hang Up For The Do Not Call
List
Market
Monitor-Jim Grinney, Chief Investment Officer for Northern Trust
Bank of Florida
The
Last Word: IBM's Smart Cart
The
Week Ahead
Paul
Kangas' Stocks In The News
Market
Stats
09/26/03: A Big Meeting
At The Big Board
SUSIE GHARIB: The staff of the New York Stock Exchange met their
new boss today. John Reed, the new Interim Chairman of the NYSE,
came here this afternoon to talk with executives of the exchange.
Reed`s visit comes a day after Carl McCall announced his resignation
as lead director of the NYSE board. As Scott Gurvey reports, the big
board is now gearing up for a new era.
SCOTT GURVEY, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: There`s a
new sheriff in town and by all estimates John Reed will leave his
mark on the New York Stock Exchange, even if his reign as interim
chief executive is, as he plans, only a few months in duration. The
New York Stock Exchange board of directors named Reed to the post
last weekend and today the former head of Citigroup (C) returned to
the United States from a vacation in France. Many who knew him in
his banking days say he is the right man for a tough job.
ROBERT ALBERTSON, CHIEF STRATEGIST, SANDLER O`NEILL: You`re going
to get one big, one big gust of fresh direct air. It may surprise
you. He may come up with conclusions and thoughts that a lot of us
haven`t considered. So there`s room for surprise here. He`s an out
of the box thinker. But there will be no doubt where he`s going and
why.
GURVEY: Dick Grasso is gone and so, too, is Carl McCall, the
board member who headed the compensation committee. But many expect
Reed to ask for most, if not all, of the current board members to
resign. Creating a new board structure and naming new board members
top Reed`s to do list of tasks. Reed and his board must also find a
permanent CEO and set compensation formulas for executives. Then
comes the restructuring of the exchange itself. SEC Chairman William
Donaldson is said to believe the NYSE should separate its trading
and regulatory functions. Reed met with Donaldson today. Reed also
must consider the future of the specialist system. Many believe an
electronic trading system with multiple market makers would be
better for investors.
NICHOLAS ECONOMIDES, ECONOMICS PROFESSOR, NYU STERN: What happens
practically right now is the specialists create the conditions for
people to trade and they are very richly rewarded for creating these
markets. The method that I`m proposing is going to create the
markets by itself and nobody would have to get rewarded for creating
them. They will be there and it will be more efficient.
GURVEY: A proposal calling for the end of the specialist system
would be a tough sell. It would be nothing less than a revolution
for an institution that traces its history back more than 200 years.
Scott Gurvey, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, New York.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do
not necessarily represent the views of Community Television
Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community
Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Terms of use.
09/26/03:A New Hang Up
For The Do Not Call List
SUSIE GHARIB: The national do not call list has been put on hold
again. This time the registry is hung up on first amendment issues.
Stephanie Woods looks at the issues facing the anti-telemarketing
program.
STEPHANIE WOODS, NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT CORRESPONDENT: Shortly
after Congress voted to remove a technical legal challenge to the
national do not call registry, another court threw up an even bigger
obstacle. A federal district judge in Denver found the registry
unconstitutional because it blocks commercial calls but not calls
from charities, political parties and other interest groups.
Lawmakers say the court is wrong.
SEN. BYRON DORGAN (D), NORTH DAKOTA: All we have done is to
empower people to affect their own right of privacy in a positive
way. I fail to see how a court can say that violates the
constitutional right of someone who wants to bother someone by
putting a call in over a telephone line that the family paid for but
doesn`t want to receive the call. It`s just a Byzantine ruling by
the court.
WOODS: The Federal Trade Commission plans to appeal the ruling,
but telemarketers argue the government shouldn`t be in the business
of blocking calls.
TIM SEARCY, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, AMERICAN TELESERVICES
ASSOCIATION: A ringing phone is a ringing phone. Only after you pick
up do you make the decision of whether or not you want to take that
call. And the reality is, it`s not up to the government to decide
what happens once you pick up that phone.
WOODS: The Supreme Court may make the final call. Legal experts
say it could be a chance for the court to shape the distinction
between commercial and public speech.
JOSEPH VAN EATON, ATTORNEY, MILLER & VAN EATON: It`s an
opportunity for the court to either uphold the precedent of the last
50 years or to begin to equate public debate with the sale of vacuum
cleaners. And, frankly, the problem with the latter is, if we start
equating public debate with selling vacuum cleaners, we`re going to
end up with no debate at all.
WOODS: There`s still confusion over whether telemarketers will
keep from calling people who`ve already put their numbers on the
national registry. In the meantime, you can ask telemarketers to
remove your name from their lists. Stephanie Woods, NIGHTLY BUSINESS
REPORT, Washington.
Nightly Business
Report transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program
is transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do
not necessarily represent the views of Community Television
Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community
Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Terms of use.
09/26/03: Market Monitor-Jim Grinney, Chief
Investment Officer for Northern Trust Bank of Florida
PAUL KANGAS: My guest market monitor this week is Jim Grinney,
Chief Investment Officer for Northern Trust Bank of Florida. Welcome
back to NIGHTLY BUSINESS REPORT, Jim. Good to see you.
JIM GRINNEY, SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT & CHIEF INVESTMENT
OFFICER, NORTHERN TRUST: Thank you. Nice to be here.
KANGAS: You know, the stock market has been gathering impressive
upward momentum since the lows of March.
GRINNEY: Yes.
KANGAS: And now it seems to have hit a stone wall here. What do
you think the problem is all of a sudden?
GRINNEY: Actually, we`ve gone into a trading range. What`s
happened is the market is taking a wait and see attitude. Remember,
the second quarter earnings actually were above expectations.
Sixty-five percent of the companies beat the numbers.
KANGAS: Now we`ve got third quarter to worry about.
GRINNEY: Now we have third quarter. And remember that nothing is
in a straight line. We still have some question marks out there.
Consumer confidence, as you saw today, was down just a tick. The
last couple days oil prices went up. Before that it was the initial
jobless claims, that have not gone down yet. So the market climate
is a wall of worry. There`s always going to be some of these things
out there to be concerned about and right now I think second, third
quarter earnings are going to help that overall situation.
KANGAS: They`ll be good enough to give us another boost?
GRINNEY: They`ll be good enough, yes.
KANGAS: What about interest rates here? You`re a banker. Have we
bottomed out for sure or could we go back and visit those lower
levels?
GRINNEY: Conceivably, we could go down and visit those lower
levels. But when you`re down at 40 year lows or 45 year lows in
rates, I mean you`re talking such small gradations that for all
practical purposes we probably have seen the bottom.
KANGAS: So you think the refinancing boom is over?
GRINNEY: The refinancing boom at this point appears to have
leveled off and in some cases have gone down. It very likely -- the
best part of it is behind us.
KANGAS: And some of the stocks involved in that business have
shown some weakness lately. I guess that`s the proof of the pudding,
you might say.
GRINNEY: Yes, they have. Yes, they have.
KANGAS: What areas do you think look the strongest now, from here
to the end of the year. What stock groups?
GRINNEY: That`s a short time frame.
KANGAS: Yes.
GRINNEY: If you believe that the economy, in fact, has turned
around and we have six quarters now behind us of positive GDP growth
-- again, earnings have turned, analysts are raising estimates in
every different industry -- then I think you have to position
yourself in those companies that are economically sensitive. Two
examples that I`d point out -- and I do, by the way, own these, as
do my clients -- one is Staples (SPLS), the office supply place. As
you see a pick up in business, so, too, does their business grow.
And they`re one of the leaders at Internet business to business
activity. And the second is in the technology area, Intel (INTC).
That, too, as you see the replacement cycle coming around, which it
has already started to do, Intel chips, as you know, are everywhere
so.
KANGAS: So you would be buying these two issues now?
GRINNEY: Am now and own them for my clients and myself.
KANGAS: Let`s go back to your last visit with us February 21 of
this year. You recommended some stocks that you had liked on
previous visits that hadn`t done particularly well, but since this
last visit they`ve done very well. You said stick with them and that
was good advice. United Parcel Service, UPS (UPS), was in the high
$50s.
GRINNEY: Right.
KANGAS: It`s now in the mid $60s. Dell Computer (DELL) was around
$26 and now it`s, of course, in the mid $30s.
GRINNEY: Right.
KANGAS: And Sigma-Aldrich (SIAL) you liked around $44. It`s now
in the early $50s. And the only new recommendation at that time was
Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), which is only down about 2 1/2, 3 points.
Are you still with all of them?
GRINNEY: We still are with all of them. I will say the whole drug
area is under a cloud right now, obviously, with the issue of the
pricing of drugs.
KANGAS: Right.
GRINNEY: J&J is in the same boat, although they have a lot
more over the counter drugs.
KANGAS: But you would buy them, again, at these levels?
GRINNEY: All of them with the exception -- J&J I`d hold just
to get a better sense for how this is going to develop in
Washington.
KANGAS: OK.
GRINNEY: The others would still be buyable, yes.
KANGAS: You know, gold bouillon and the gold stocks have been
putting in stellar performances recently. Are you into that at all
or do you think that that signals trouble ahead?
GRINNEY: We`re not into the gold stocks, primarily because the
only prices of gold are set by psychology. And there`s no earnings
fundamentals really behind it, some supply and demand, but mostly
psychology. And the price run-up we`ve seen has been, I think, a
reflection of the market sniffing out an economic recovery.
Typically inflation follows, although this time around we`ve seen
inflation continue to remain subdued, two percent in the CPI because
productivity is very high.
KANGAS: But you don`t see deflation as a threat here?
GRINNEY: No.
KANGAS: OK.
GRINNEY: At this point, we do not.
KANGAS: And just briefly, what about the ethics on Wall Street?
Do you think this has been slowing the market a bit, the problems
that the New York Exchange, the mutual funds --
GRINNEY: Oh, no question. No question. You know, we thought we
had seen the bulk of the problems come out with Enron and Tyco (TYC)
and WorldCom (WCEQ.OB), etc. And then you have the problems with Mr.
Grasso. And it is not over yet. It, again, there`s a cloud. It`s
depressing people. But when you think long- term, this is a
cleansing process. And we are working out of all these. They`re
coming to the fore. We have a lot more corporate governance than in
the past. So ultimately it`s a good thing.
KANGAS: It just makes the hurdle a little higher, too, higher?
GRINNEY: Yes, it does.
KANGAS: OK.
GRINNEY: Yes, it does.
KANGAS: Jim, thanks very much for being with us.
GRINNEY: My pleasure. Thank you.
KANGAS: My guest, Jim Grinney of Northern Trust Bank of Florida.
Nightly Business Report
transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is
transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do
not necessarily represent the views of Community Television
Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community
Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Terms of use.
09/26/03: The Last Word: IBM's Smart Cart
SUSIE GHARIB: And finally IBM (IBM) wants to make your trip to
the grocery store a lot easier. Big Blue hopes its new smart cart
will speed your trip down the aisle. The high tech shopping cart has
a computer screen that can be swiped with the shopper`s store card,
which brings up their purchase history, likes and dislikes, as well
as store specials. The cart also talks, telling the shopper what
items will go with other items that are placed in the basket, like
suggesting wine pairings. Paul, the smart cart also offers friendly
reminders about items that you may have forgotten, like toothpaste
or toilet paper.
KANGAS: I may forget toothpaste, but that`s about it.
GHARIB: I think if it`s really a smart cart, it should do the
shopping for you and put them in your car.
KANGAS: Well, I hope it doesn`t talk while you`re waiting in line
at the cashier.
Nightly Business Report
transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is
transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do
not necessarily represent the views of Community Television
Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community
Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Terms of use.
09/26/03: The Week Ahead
SUSIE GHARIB: Here`s a look at what`s happening next week, a busy
week. Our Friday market monitor guest is Douglas Cliggott, President
and Investment Strategist at B&P Research. Monday, it`s August
personal income and spending; Tuesday, the Conference Board`s
September report on consumer confidence comes out; Wednesday, it`s
August construction spending and the Institute of Supply
Management`s Manufacturing Index for the month of September;
Thursday, August factory orders; and then on Friday, it`s the
September jobs report.
Nightly Business Report
transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is
transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do
not necessarily represent the views of Community Television
Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community
Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Terms of use.
9/26/03: "Paul
Kangas' Stocks In The News"
PAUL KANGAS: Well, Wall Street opened slightly lower on some
light carryover selling from yesterday`s late downturn, but that
upward revision in second quarter GDP kept the early decline a minor
one. At the outset, the Dow fell only about a dozen points and the
NASDAQ Index off just 3. That unexpected drop in the Consumer
Sentiment Index put stocks a bit more on the defensive, but trading
was light, with little other news to sway investors. At noontime,
the Dow was off 27 points and the NASDAQ was down about 14 points.
Growing nervousness about upcoming third quarter earnings and the
normal pre- weekend evening up operations kept the market modestly
lower for the rest of the day. The Dow Industrial average closed
down 30.88 points, at 9, 313.08. However, it fell in four of this
week`s five sessions, for a net loss overall of 331 3/4 points, or
3.4 percent. The NASDAQ Composite fell 25.17, to end at 1, 792.07
today. It also fell on four of five days this week, and tumbled 113
points, or six percent overall. The Standard & Poor`s 500 Index
was down 6.42, ending at 996.85 today. Over on the bond market, the
10 year note rose 23/32, to 102 even, and that put the yield at a
flat four percent.
The most active issue, as I mentioned, Motorola (MOT) trading 31
million shares, coming up from a low during the day of $11.80. J.P.
Morgan also upgraded the stock from "neutral" to "over weight." It
closed at the high of the day.
NorTel Networks (NT) was down $0.19.
Followed by Lucent Technologies (LU), with a $0.04 loss.
Then General Electric (GE) down $0.51.
And Eastman Kodak (EK) down another $0.75. It was off nearly $5
yesterday after announcing a slash in its dividend from $1.80 to
only $0.50 a year. That`s a 70 percent cut.
Liberty Media (L) was up $0.20.
AOL Time Warner (AOL) down $0.32.
Pfizer (PFE) edged up $0.03 a share.
Nokia (NOK) was a $0.19 gainer. The company unveiled a sweeping
reorganization which will break operations into four business groups
-- mobile phones, multi- media, networks and enterprise solutions. A
positive effect on the stock.
Hewlett Packard (HPQ) was up $0.14, tenth in big board volume.
3M Company (MMM) up $1.84. That helped the Dow Industrial Average
a bit. Bank of America (BAC) has upgraded it from "neutral" to "buy"
and now has a $170 a share target for the stock in the belief that
the company`s LCD business, that`s liquid crystal displays, will
grow some 30 percent per year.
Northrop Grumman (NOC) moved up $1.23 after the Jefferies
Brokerage upgraded it from "hold" to a "buy."
And John Hancock Financial Services (JHF) rising $2.25. The
"Boston Globe" newspaper reports the company is again in the
advanced stages of talks with a potential buyer. But John Hancock
declined any comment on who it might be. There`s a lot of
speculation, of course.
Rite Aid (RAD) was up $0.17. It traded as high as $5.29 after the
Smith Barney Brokerage upgraded it from "sell" to a "buy." A real
turnabout there.
Allegheny Energy (AYE) was down $0.17. J.P. Morgan downgraded it
from "neutral" to "under weight" and the company restated lower its
first quarter of 2002 results from a loss of $0.23 to a loss of
$0.43 and the second quarter of 2002 from a loss of $0.26 to a loss
of $0.27. Also, there`s speculation the company could be in default
after the third quarter of this year.
Fisher Scientific International (FSH) down $1.50. The company
agreed to sell Bank of America`s securities, 6.6 million common
shares for $261 million. That works out to about $39.50 per share,
but a little earnings dilution involved with those extra shares out.
Concord EFS (CE) was up $0.64. It traded as high as $14.26. There
is speculation the planned buyout of the company by First Data
Corporation (FDC) will go through.
And then we see Newmont Mining (NEM) down $1.42, representing a
very weak gold group today. A lot of profit taking after gold
bouillon hit a seven year high yesterday.
The NASDAQ`s most active issue, Intel (INTC), down $0.18.
Followed by Microsoft (MSFT) with a $0.05 loss.
Cisco (CSCO) dropped a $0.10.
And SINA Corporation (SINA) down $5.24. This is a Chinese
Internet portal company and it`s had a huge run up recently, so
that`s pure profit taking, no doubt.
Amgen (AMGN) down $0.23 a share, fifth in dollar volume on
NASDAQ.
Dell Incorporated (DELL) moved up $0.22 yesterday. It said it`s
getting into the consumer electronics business.
Amgen (AMGN) was down $0.23.
Applied Materials (AMAT) a $0.25 loss.
KLA Tencor (KLAC) dropping just over a $1.
And MedImmune (MEDI) down $2.06 per share.
American Business Financial Services (ABFI) fell $1.72, or 25
percent. The company is going to suspend its quarterly cash dividend
of $0.08 a share and that had a very negative impact, as you might
expect. It did on Kodak (EK), that`s for sure.
SCO Group (SCOX) was down $2.94. This company is a Linux software
marketer, among other things, and IBM is counter suing the company,
alleging that it is misusing its rights to the UNIX operating
system. A little legal going on there.
Research In Motion (RIMM) up $1.57. After the close yesterday,
the company came in with second quarter results, better than
expected. Earnings of $0.03 versus a loss of $0.18 the prior year.
This company makes wireless solutions and markets them and says its
next big opportunity is China.
And those are the stocks in the news tonight.
Nightly Business Report
transcripts are available on-line post broadcast. The program is
transcribed by eMediaMillWorks. Updates may be posted at a later
date. The views of our guests and commentators are their own and do
not necessarily represent the views of Community Television
Foundation of South Florida, Inc. Nightly Business Report, or WPBT.
Information presented on Nightly Business Report is not and should
not be considered as investment advice. Copyright (c) 2003 Community
Television Foundation of South Florida, Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Terms of use.
09/26/03: Market Stats
NET PERCENT
CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE
DOW CLOSE 9313.08 -30.88 - .3
HIGH 9358.28
LOW 9303.82
NASDAQ COMP. 1792.07 -25.17 -1.4
HIGH 1821.57
LOW 1792.06
VOLUME 1,443.0
PREVIOUS 1,524.4
UP VOLUME 396.1
DOWN VOLUME 1,005.8
DOW TRANSPORTS 2663.83 -33.29 - 1.2
DOW UTILITIES 248.98 +2.57 + 1.0
CLOSING TICK -220
S&P 500 996.85 -6.42 - .6
S&P 100 499.61 -3.01 - .6
MIDCAP 400 508.47 -6.19 - 1.2
REUTERS/CRB 239.97 -2.54 - 1.1
NYSE COMPOSITE 5644.14 -35.49 - .6
VALUE LINE 317.93 -4.67 -1.45
RUSSELL 2000 485.29 -9.77 -1.97
WILSHIRE 5000 9646.46 -79.94 -0.82
U.S. TREASURIES
5-YEAR NOTE 3.125%
Sept. 15,2008 101 +17/32 2.90
10-YEAR NOTE 4.25%
Aug. 15,2013 102 +23/32 4.00
30-YEAR NOTE 5.375%
Feb. 15, 2031 106 18/32 +27/32 4.94
LEHMAN BROS.
LONG BOND INDEX 1761.88 +15.81
DOW CLOSE 9313.08 -30.88 - .3
ADVANCES 1202
DECLINES 2023
NEW HIGHS 42
NEW LOWS 16
NET PERCENT
NYSE MOST ACTIVES 4PM CLOSE CHANGE CHANGE
MOT Motorola 12.53 unch. unch.
NT Nortel Networks 4.09 -.19 -4.4
LU Lucent Tech 2.25 -.04 -1.8
GE GE 29.87 -.51 -1.7
EK Eastman Kodak 21.40 -.75 -3.4
L Liberty Media 10.11 +.20 +2.0
AOL AOL Time Warner 15.20 -.32 -2.1
PFE Pfizer 30.56 +.03 +.1
NOK Nokia 15.26 +.19 +1.3
HPQ Hewlett-Packard 19.40 +.14 +.7
NASDAQ CLOSE 1792.07 - 25.17 - 1.4
VOLUME 1,849.4
PREVIOUS 2,047.8
ADVANCES 814
DECLINES 2335
NASDAQ ACTIVES
INTC Intel 27.27 -.18 -.7
MSFT Microsoft 28.19 -.05 -.2
CSCO Cisco Systems 19.96 -.10 -.5
SINA Sina Corp 33.68 -5.24 -13.5
AMGN Amgen 65.15 -.23 -.4
DELL Dell Inc 34.14 +.22 +.7
AMGN Amgen 65.15 -.23 -.4
AMAT Applied Matl 18.42 -.25 -1.3
KLAC KLA Tencor 51.79 -1.02 -1.9
MEDI MedImmune 32.00 -2.06 -6.1
AMEX CLOSE 986.27 - 11.77 - 1.2
INDEX SHARES
DIA DIAMONDS TRUST 93.30 +.05 +.1
QQQ NASDAQ 100 32.58 -.21 -.6
SPY S&P DEP.RECEIPT 99.95 -.33 -.3
STOCKS IN THE NEWS
MMM 3M Co 143.45 +1.84 +1.3
NOC Northrop Grumman 86.15 +1.23 +1.5
JHF John Hancock 34.30 +2.25 +7.0
RAD Rite Aid Corp 5.18 +.17 +3.4
AYE Allegheny Energy 8.76 -.17 -1.9
FSH Fisher Sci Intl 39.25 -1.50 -3.7
CE Concord EFS 14.00 +.64 +4.8
NEM Newmont Mining 38.91 -1.42 -3.5
ABFI Amer Business 5.15 -1.72 -25.0
SCOX SCO Group Inc 14.29 -2.94 -17.1
RIMM Research in Mot 37.29 +1.57 +4.4