# NYU Stern Nobel Laureate Robert Engle Forecasts High Market Volatility for Next 12 Months

1 Press Releases April 2, 2009 ![](/sites/default/files/styles/246w/public/assets/images/uat_024818.gif?itok=vyb0e6SV)>

**--Available for Interviews--**
NEW YORK--On Friday April 3, 2009, Professor [Engle](http://w4.stern.nyu.edu/faculty/bio/robert-engle) will debut Stern’s new [Volatility Lab](/experience-stern/about/departments-centers-initiatives/centers-of-research/volatility-institute), or “Vlab” for short, at the Volatility Institute’s inaugural conference.

A new and independent tool to measure market risk, the Vlab calculates the volatility of the S&amp;P 500, MSCI World Index, emerging markets, commodities, exchange rates and more every day. It also produces volatility forecasts up to a year in advance.

At the close of 1st quarter, Professor Engle cites several trends:

- Market volatility is forecasted to remain high for the next year
- S&amp;P500 volatility increased to 37% from last year’s 26%
- International and emerging market volatility is well above average
- Sweden’s volatility sustained its six-month high, closing at 70%, well above the international market index average of 14%
- The financial crisis pushed Italy’s volatility to 63%, the highest in the Eurozone
- Volatility of gold declined to 18%, below its 23% average

For the Volatility Institute conference agenda, visit <http://w4.stern.nyu.edu/volatility/> and click on the “Events” tab.

To RSVP for the event or to interview Professor Engle, please contact Jessica Neville, 212-998-0666, <jneville@stern.nyu.edu>, or Carolyn Ritter, 212-998-0624, <critter@stern.nyu.edu>, in NYU Stern’s Office of Public Affairs.

April 2, 2009: [http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20090402005707/en ](http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20090402005707/en%20)
