COVID-19 Is Beating Trump
— August 3, 2020
By Michael Spence and David W. Brady
In today’s highly polarized environment, committed voters from either party are unlikely to switch sides. But there are too few such voters on either side to clinch the election. This means that moderates and especially self-identified independents will make all the difference. From this perspective, Trump appears to be in trouble.
This was not the case just five months ago, when the COVID-19 crisis first erupted in the US. At the time, Italy – with its overwhelmed hospitals, strict economic lockdown, and devastated economy – was dominating headlines. The US had no restrictions in place, and its health system was managing just fine.
Read the full Project Syndicate article.
A. Michael Spence is a William R. Berkley Professor in Economics & Business.